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Red54
353710.2
553420.4
887325.8
Blue90
376725.4
171126.2
377015.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617340801001205490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.2
26.025.8
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End2.8
blue by 0.4
26.20.6
25.726.2
Auto7.1
Teleop18.5
End0.6
Second
20.40.2
20.620.4
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End1.6
blue by 5.0
25.40.6
24.825.4
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End1.0
Third
3537
#36
10.20.2
10.410.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 4.9
3770
#20
15.10.6
14.415.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End1.4