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Red40
553420.4
78559.6
22467.3
Blue37
608718.9
377015.1
715510.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33411020506070804037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.6
17.618.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End1.6
red by 1.5
6087
#17
18.90.1
15.615.7
Auto8.1
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Second
7855
#31
9.60.6
6.97.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.7
blue by 5.5
3770
#20
15.10.1
12.412.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Third
2246
#35
7.30.6
6.16.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.3
blue by 3.3
7155
#33
10.60.1
8.18.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed