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Red63
917619.1
804112.2
779020.4
Blue45
609713.6
360326.5
715510.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444325303540505560656345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#10
20.40.9
15.015.9
Auto9.1
Teleop10.5
End0.8
blue by 6.0
26.50.3
23.023.4
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Second
19.11.5
15.116.6
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End0.6
red by 5.5
6097
#24
13.60.6
9.19.6
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End1.3
Third
8041
#15
12.20.9
9.310.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End0.3
red by 1.6
7155
#33
10.60.3
7.98.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed