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Red58
477931.8
22467.3
612214.2
Blue61
550411.3
917619.1
360326.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525430406070805861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.7
27.227.9
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End2.4
red by 5.3
26.50.8
23.424.2
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Second
6122
#22
14.21.2
13.614.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End1.9
blue by 4.8
19.11.3
16.617.9
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End0.6
Third
2246
#35
7.30.7
6.57.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.3
blue by 4.0
5504
#27
11.31.3
9.110.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed