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Red30
78559.6
95414.6
828616.7
Blue41
553420.4
609713.6
9047.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244202060803041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8286
#13
16.70.4
11.111.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.8
End0.5
blue by 3.7
20.40.4
18.418.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End1.6
Second
7855
#31
9.60.3
8.58.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.7
blue by 4.0
6097
#24
13.60.6
9.610.2
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End1.3
Third
9541
#34
4.60.4
4.54.9
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
blue by 3.0
904
#39
7.50.6
7.68.2
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed