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Red58
171126.2
95687.9
917619.1
Blue61
360326.5
977310.4
283419.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49582040801005861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.8
21.422.3
Auto7.1
Teleop18.5
End0.6
blue by 0.2
26.50.3
24.224.5
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Second
19.11.4
17.919.3
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End0.6
Level
2834
#25
19.00.6
17.718.2
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
9568
#38
7.90.8
6.06.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 2.5
9773
#26
10.40.3
9.29.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed