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Red24
60916.9
524711.0
9047.5
Blue63
553420.4
368824.4
69639.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306202040801002463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5247
#23
11.01.1
13.712.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End2.1
blue by 13.4
3688
#12
24.40.1
25.425.5
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Second
904
#39
7.51.9
8.26.3
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 12.9
20.40.1
18.818.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End1.6
Third
6091
#40
6.91.1
8.87.7
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 2.4
6963
#16
9.30.1
7.77.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned