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Red46
553518.0
78559.6
716018.8
Blue43
887325.8
95414.6
804112.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454220305060704643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.80.6
17.418.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End1.6
blue by 7.0
25.80.2
22.422.6
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End2.8
Second
5535
#21
18.00.4
14.114.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.5
red by 5.8
8041
#15
12.20.2
10.911.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End0.3
Third
7855
#31
9.60.4
8.89.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.7
red by 5.0
9541
#34
4.60.3
4.95.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed