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Red55
95687.9
368824.4
9047.5
Blue37
22467.3
977112.8
511019.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060801005537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#12
24.40.8
25.526.2
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End2.2
red by 5.1
5110
#28
19.30.0
17.617.6
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Second
9568
#38
7.90.8
6.87.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 4.9
9771
#14
12.80.0
13.513.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.3
End1.2
Third
904
#39
7.51.3
6.37.6
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End1.4
red by 0.2
2246
#35
7.30.0
5.95.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed