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Red36
715510.6
716018.8
353710.2
Blue42
96657.0
609713.6
376725.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463702060803642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.80.7
18.417.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End1.6
blue by 6.5
25.40.5
19.119.6
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End1.0
Second
7155
#33
10.60.4
10.09.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.8
blue by 3.0
6097
#24
13.60.7
12.313.0
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End1.3
Third
3537
#36
10.20.4
12.111.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End1.3
red by 3.1
9665
#37
7.00.7
3.23.9
Auto1.5
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed