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Red51
55607.0
171126.2
78559.6
Blue50
977310.4
60916.9
368824.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444802060801005150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.0
22.422.4
Auto7.1
Teleop18.5
End0.6
red by 1.8
3688
#12
24.40.2
25.425.2
Auto10.5
Teleop11.7
End2.2
Second
7855
#31
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.7
blue by 0.8
9773
#26
10.40.2
11.110.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End0.6
Third
5560
#32
7.00.0
8.58.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.5
End1.0
red by 0.1
6091
#40
6.90.2
6.46.2
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed