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Red30
22467.3
9047.5
608718.9
Blue71
887325.8
967315.7
609713.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286102040801003071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6087
#17
18.90.0
15.315.3
Auto8.1
Teleop8.0
End2.8
blue by 6.9
25.80.7
23.524.2
Auto8.1
Teleop15.0
End2.8
Second
904
#39
7.50.0
8.48.5
Auto1.6
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 8.2
9673
#18
15.70.7
14.415.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Third
2246
#35
7.30.0
5.95.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.3
blue by 6.3
6097
#24
13.60.9
13.013.9
Auto6.5
Teleop5.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed