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Red38
51839.3
511019.3
804112.2
Blue74
376725.4
171126.2
22467.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435820801001203874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5110
#28
19.30.2
18.518.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End3.4
blue by 6.9
26.21.6
22.424.0
Auto7.1
Teleop18.5
End0.6
Second
8041
#15
12.20.2
12.412.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.6
End0.3
blue by 13.2
25.41.6
22.023.6
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End1.0
Third
5183
#19
9.30.2
9.59.3
Auto4.1
Teleop1.7
End3.4
red by 1.9
2246
#35
7.31.6
5.97.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed