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Red44
917619.1
977310.4
715510.6
Blue40
95414.6
608718.9
511019.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434502060801004440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.10.4
19.119.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End0.6
blue by 0.3
5110
#28
19.30.0
18.418.3
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Second
7155
#33
10.60.3
10.310.6
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End2.8
blue by 8.3
6087
#17
18.90.0
17.517.5
Auto8.1
Teleop8.0
End2.8
Third
9773
#26
10.40.3
10.110.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End0.6
red by 5.8
9541
#34
4.60.0
4.64.6
Auto2.7
Teleop1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed