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Red68
360326.5
477931.8
612214.2
Blue87
376725.4
171126.2
377015.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82702040601001201406887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.1
31.931.8
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End2.4
red by 5.5
26.20.3
25.726.0
Auto7.1
Teleop18.5
End0.6
Second
26.50.1
26.626.5
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End1.5
red by 1.1
25.40.3
24.925.1
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End1.0
Third
6122
#22
14.20.1
14.414.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End1.9
blue by 0.8
3770
#20
15.10.3
14.514.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.3
End1.4