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Red76
354628.7
612123.0
721124.7
Blue90
24421.3
567527.6
609033.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849140601001201407690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.0
28.828.8
Auto10.3
Teleop15.2
End3.2
blue by 4.6
33.30.2
32.933.1
Auto14.1
Teleop17.0
End2.3
Second
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
blue by 3.0
27.60.2
27.327.5
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.5
Third
6121
#13
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 1.7
244
#25
21.30.2
20.921.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End2.3