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Red41
485518.7
28820.4
611418.4
Blue55
612123.0
75988.9
567527.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52524060704155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#21
20.40.4
19.719.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End2.3
blue by 7.2
27.60.5
23.223.7
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.5
Second
4855
#11
18.70.4
14.914.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 4.2
6121
#13
23.00.5
18.919.4
Auto7.5
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Third
6114
#20
18.40.6
11.711.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.4
End1.2
red by 9.5
7598
#30
8.90.5
5.45.9
Auto4.8
Teleop2.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed