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Red65
561018.7
191821.9
335735.5
Blue41
28820.4
323416.5
7424.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71582040801001206541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.2
30.230.4
Auto10.8
Teleop21.5
End3.2
red by 11.5
74
#18
24.00.8
22.621.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Second
1918
#14
21.90.2
17.117.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End3.8
red by 1.6
288
#21
20.40.8
19.418.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Third
5610
#23
18.70.2
15.015.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End3.5
red by 2.2
3234
#32
16.51.4
11.710.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed