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Red62
24421.3
400317.3
485518.7
Blue53
8533.0
721124.7
60947.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416702060801006253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#25
21.31.5
10.211.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End2.3
blue by 11.7
85
#2
33.00.3
28.227.9
Auto13.3
Teleop17.7
End2.1
Second
4855
#11
18.71.5
15.316.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 5.9
24.70.3
20.019.7
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
Third
4003
#22
17.31.5
14.415.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.0
End3.1
red by 9.5
6094
#40
7.80.3
9.18.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned61%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed