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Red86
295927.9
600222.5
592723.0
Blue86
354628.7
567527.6
609033.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions658220401001201408686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End2.2
blue by 5.4
33.3
Auto14.1
Teleop17.0
End2.3
Second
5927
#16
23.0
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End0.6
blue by 5.7
28.7
Auto10.3
Teleop15.2
End3.2
Third
6002
#10
22.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.4
blue by 5.2
27.6
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed