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Red80
600222.5
687712.9
354628.7
Blue31
92484.6
92236.9
191821.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613002040801001208031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.71.2
20.421.6
Auto10.3
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 6.8
1918
#14
21.90.6
17.416.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End3.8
Second
6002
#10
22.51.2
21.422.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.4
red by 15.6
9223
#36
6.90.6
7.46.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End1.2
Third
6877
#15
12.91.2
9.710.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.1
red by 8.3
9248
#37
4.60.6
6.35.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed