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Red68
21627.7
8533.0
612123.0
Blue43
92236.9
839710.2
354628.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8135020601001206843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#2
33.00.0
27.527.5
Auto13.3
Teleop17.7
End2.1
red by 4.3
28.70.2
20.320.6
Auto10.3
Teleop15.2
End3.2
Second
216
#12
27.70.0
21.721.7
Auto5.2
Teleop19.6
End2.8
red by 17.5
8397
#34
10.20.4
9.39.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Third
6121
#13
23.00.0
18.918.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 16.0
9223
#36
6.90.2
7.77.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed