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Red79
60947.8
357232.6
21627.7
Blue62
191821.9
323416.5
92057.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7536020601001207962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.61.0
31.432.4
Auto14.7
Teleop15.1
End2.8
red by 10.6
1918
#14
21.91.3
17.218.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End3.8
Second
216
#12
27.71.0
23.924.9
Auto5.2
Teleop19.6
End2.8
red by 11.2
3234
#32
16.52.1
12.514.6
Auto7.1
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Third
6094
#40
7.81.0
8.29.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.2
End0.2
red by 0.4
9205
#41
7.41.3
7.38.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned