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Red78
14118.0
354628.7
561018.7
Blue49
485518.7
705413.2
642810.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6242020801007849

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.71.3
22.323.6
Auto10.3
Teleop15.2
End3.2
red by 10.0
4855
#11
18.70.6
17.718.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Second
5610
#23
18.71.3
16.217.4
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End3.5
red by 5.5
7054
#31
13.20.6
12.613.2
Auto7.0
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Third
141
#19
18.01.3
15.116.4
Auto7.2
Teleop8.7
End2.2
red by 7.4
6428
#38
10.60.6
9.710.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed