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Red41
28820.4
75988.9
972112.6
Blue34
92057.4
485518.7
600222.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34520102030406070804134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#21
20.40.5
19.219.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End2.3
blue by 2.1
6002
#10
22.50.7
21.520.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.4
Second
9721
#26
12.66.6
16.610.0
Auto7.7
Teleop3.5
End1.4
blue by 6.2
4855
#11
18.70.7
15.714.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.1
End2.9
Third
7598
#30
8.90.5
4.95.4
Auto4.8
Teleop2.7
End1.4
red by 1.5
9205
#41
7.40.7
7.87.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed