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Red62
92067.9
295927.9
612123.0
Blue49
191821.9
214520.4
839710.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58572040801001206249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.6
24.725.3
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End2.2
red by 5.9
1918
#14
21.90.2
21.821.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End3.8
Second
6121
#13
23.00.6
20.821.4
Auto7.5
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 2.6
2145
#24
20.40.2
20.019.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Third
9206
#39
7.90.8
7.07.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.0
End0.5
blue by 2.3
8397
#34
10.20.2
10.09.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed