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Red85
357232.6
609033.3
547010.5
Blue68
592723.0
335735.5
687712.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685840801008568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.31.2
24.725.9
Auto14.1
Teleop17.0
End2.3
blue by 2.2
35.50.9
29.330.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.5
End3.2
Second
32.61.2
28.229.5
Auto14.7
Teleop15.1
End2.8
red by 9.5
5927
#16
23.00.9
17.618.5
Auto9.7
Teleop12.7
End0.6
Third
5470
#35
10.51.2
7.78.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.8
blue by 2.4
6877
#15
12.91.0
6.97.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed