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Red55
357232.6
34588.7
561018.7
Blue80
8533.0
214520.4
600222.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648540801001205580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.3
32.932.5
Auto14.7
Teleop15.1
End2.8
blue by 0.4
85
#2
33.00.4
32.632.9
Auto13.3
Teleop17.7
End2.1
Second
5610
#23
18.70.3
18.217.9
Auto7.0
Teleop8.2
End3.5
blue by 3.8
6002
#10
22.50.4
21.922.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.4
Third
3458
#27
8.70.3
9.18.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End1.0
blue by 11.7
2145
#24
20.40.4
19.820.2
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed70%Ensemble oddsEarned