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Red40
485512.7
400312.6
277116.1
Blue26
85816.1
496715.2
9046.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645702040801001201401604026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.11.1
21.019.9
Auto7.5
Teleop6.8
End1.7
Level
858
#16
16.11.7
19.517.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.1
End1.6
Second
4855
#10
12.71.1
18.717.6
Auto6.7
Teleop4.4
End1.7
blue by 2.5
15.21.7
20.718.9
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End1.8
Third
12.61.1
17.316.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End1.7
red by 6.5
904
#14
6.11.7
12.110.4
Auto2.4
Teleop1.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed