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Red93
806925.6
495913.0
93126.8
Blue62
198736.2
639121.6
198623.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641030501509362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#6
26.82.0
26.428.4
Auto11.6
Teleop13.1
End2.1
blue by 9.4
1987
#14
36.21.8
38.937.1
Auto13.1
Teleop20.2
End2.9
Second
25.62.2
22.024.2
Auto6.0
Teleop16.1
End3.6
red by 1.7
1986
#25
23.91.8
27.525.7
Auto6.7
Teleop14.8
End2.4
Third
4959
#34
13.02.0
14.316.3
Auto7.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 8.5
6391
#17
21.61.8
22.420.7
Auto9.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsMissed