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Red127
940135.0
173036.7
93532.7
Blue88
297814.2
512621.2
639121.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11851010015012788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.9
33.535.4
Auto9.9
Teleop24.0
End2.8
red by 15.1
6391
#17
21.61.9
18.420.3
Auto9.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
Second
9401
#16
35.01.9
35.437.3
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.0
red by 13.8
5126
#13
21.21.9
20.822.7
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End0.2
Third
935
#4
32.71.9
29.731.6
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End2.9
red by 18.5
2978
#22
14.21.9
15.117.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed