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Red66
639121.6
642430.8
17759.3
Blue65
198736.2
432922.0
807710.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69800501001502002503006665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.5
33.132.6
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End2.5
blue by 5.4
1987
#14
36.20.4
37.336.9
Auto13.1
Teleop20.2
End2.9
Second
6391
#17
21.60.5
20.620.1
Auto9.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
blue by 0.4
4329
#11
22.00.4
23.022.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Third
1775
#32
9.30.5
9.79.2
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End0.5
blue by 0.7
8077
#29
10.00.4
10.510.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed