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Red86
706414.1
93126.8
940135.0
Blue60
18477.7
806925.6
501328.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88690204060801001201408660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9401
#16
35.00.6
36.637.1
Auto13.6
Teleop19.4
End2.0
red by 7.0
28.11.3
27.826.4
Auto9.8
Teleop15.7
End2.6
Second
931
#6
26.80.6
27.327.9
Auto11.6
Teleop13.1
End2.1
red by 1.2
25.61.3
27.426.1
Auto6.0
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Third
7064
#27
14.10.6
13.514.1
Auto6.2
Teleop8.3
End-0.4
red by 6.4
1847
#31
7.71.3
9.58.2
Auto1.4
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsEarned