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Red106
110828.8
170651.1
526813.8
Blue40
512621.2
198215.2
182519.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1095905010015010640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.10.9
50.951.8
Auto16.3
Teleop28.4
End6.4
red by 29.9
5126
#13
21.21.3
23.221.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End0.2
Second
1108
#12
28.80.9
28.229.0
Auto12.0
Teleop14.7
End2.1
red by 9.5
1825
#24
19.31.3
19.518.3
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Third
5268
#23
13.80.9
13.814.7
Auto8.6
Teleop5.1
End0.1
blue by 1.4
1982
#20
15.21.3
16.415.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed