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Red108
501328.1
93532.7
182519.3
Blue71
110828.8
198623.9
882518.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8778406010012010871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#4
32.70.6
32.032.5
Auto11.5
Teleop18.3
End2.9
red by 3.9
1108
#12
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto12.0
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Second
28.10.6
27.327.8
Auto9.8
Teleop15.7
End2.6
red by 4.1
1986
#25
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.8
End2.4
Third
1825
#24
19.30.6
18.619.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.4
End1.7
red by 0.5
8825
#19
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End1.4