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Red57
957623.7
253122.1
318421.9
Blue39
419813.7
423912.2
604512.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844601001505739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.0
23.422.5
Auto11.0
Teleop12.8
End-0.1
red by 10.0
4198
#17
13.70.8
15.714.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Second
22.11.0
24.123.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End1.2
red by 9.3
6045
#20
12.80.8
14.513.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End0.5
Third
21.91.0
24.223.2
Auto10.3
Teleop8.3
End3.3
red by 9.7
4239
#36
12.20.8
15.815.0
Auto6.2
Teleop4.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed