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Red28
485913.6
216914.1
389110.6
Blue46
331313.2
254912.3
253122.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45550204060801002846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#32
14.10.9
15.314.4
Auto6.0
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 7.9
22.10.2
22.922.8
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End1.2
Second
4859
#14
13.60.9
13.112.2
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End1.1
red by 0.5
3313
#12
13.20.2
13.913.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Third
3891
#24
10.60.9
13.212.3
Auto2.4
Teleop7.6
End0.6
blue by 1.6
2549
#11
12.30.2
11.811.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed