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Red62
363021.3
85168.5
181623.3
Blue30
419813.7
388316.2
5541-1.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623302040801001206230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.3
22.222.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.7
End0.1
red by 7.1
3883
#16
16.20.2
18.618.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Second
3630
#25
21.30.3
22.222.5
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End0.9
red by 7.7
4198
#17
13.70.2
14.714.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Third
8.50.3
8.28.5
Auto4.6
Teleop2.7
End1.2
red by 9.6
5541
#28
-1.10.2
-0.4-0.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop-0.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed