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Red35
38489.3
527512.2
604512.8
Blue33
38718.5
331313.2
284613.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383815202530354550553533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#20
12.80.0
12.212.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End0.5
blue by 0.5
2846
#15
13.30.1
12.912.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End0.8
Second
5275
#27
12.20.0
12.912.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End1.7
blue by 1.0
3313
#12
13.20.1
13.713.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Third
3848
#29
9.30.0
9.89.8
Auto1.8
Teleop6.8
End0.7
red by 0.8
3871
#26
8.50.1
7.67.5
Auto5.5
Teleop2.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed