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Red68
363021.3
419813.7
460732.5
Blue89
38718.5
472828.7
485913.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785102040601001201406889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.0
32.632.6
Auto11.7
Teleop16.2
End4.7
red by 3.9
28.71.0
28.929.9
Auto10.8
Teleop15.1
End2.8
Second
3630
#25
21.30.0
21.521.5
Auto9.8
Teleop10.6
End0.9
red by 7.7
4859
#14
13.61.0
12.613.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Third
4198
#17
13.70.0
13.613.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.6
End1.4
red by 5.1
3871
#26
8.51.0
7.58.5
Auto5.5
Teleop2.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed