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Red100
472835.4
670920.9
460737.9
Blue82
327633.2
706819.8
702832.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059340608012014016010082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.1
37.837.9
Auto12.4
Teleop20.5
End5.0
red by 4.7
33.20.1
33.333.2
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End4.8
Second
35.40.1
35.335.4
Auto12.2
Teleop21.0
End2.2
red by 3.1
32.40.1
32.532.4
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End-0.3
Third
6709
#15
20.90.1
20.820.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End1.7
red by 1.1
7068
#16
19.80.1
19.919.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.3