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Red86
957623.5
604514.5
327633.2
Blue57
423915.8
670920.9
302611.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885701001502008657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.1
38.338.2
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End4.8
red by 12.3
6709
#15
20.90.1
23.223.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Second
9576
#13
23.50.1
22.122.0
Auto11.2
Teleop11.9
End0.4
red by 7.7
4239
#14
15.80.1
18.218.3
Auto7.2
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Third
6045
#12
14.50.1
15.315.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
red by 3.1
3026
#21
11.40.1
14.014.2
Auto1.2
Teleop8.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed