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Red62
563819.8
302316.7
702832.4
Blue29
46323.6
957623.5
85168.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87370501001506229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.41.2
33.532.3
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End-0.3
red by 8.9
9576
#13
23.50.7
22.021.3
Auto11.2
Teleop11.9
End0.4
Second
5638
#10
19.81.2
19.918.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.8
red by 10.8
8516
#25
8.90.7
12.511.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Third
3023
#18
16.71.2
19.618.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End1.7
red by 13.1
4632
#23
3.60.9
5.14.2
Auto0.9
Teleop3.1
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed