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Red104
702832.4
706819.8
327633.2
Blue24
305814.1
46938.7
604514.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions993405015010424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.2
32.132.3
Auto6.6
Teleop21.8
End4.8
red by 18.6
6045
#12
14.50.3
15.014.7
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End0.5
Second
32.40.2
31.331.5
Auto12.0
Teleop20.7
End-0.3
red by 18.3
3058
#11
14.10.3
14.514.2
Auto5.6
Teleop6.1
End2.3
Third
7068
#16
19.80.2
18.718.9
Auto7.7
Teleop9.8
End2.3
red by 11.1
8.70.3
9.18.7
Auto5.4
Teleop2.2
End1.1