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Red23
591315.6
423027.9
75309.2
Blue41
298717.4
527516.6
285515.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424025303545502341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.91.6
11.810.2
Auto7.9
Teleop17.3
End2.7
red by 10.4
17.40.5
17.017.6
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End1.0
Second
15.61.6
16.314.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.5
End2.3
blue by 1.0
5275
#28
16.60.5
9.510.0
Auto6.8
Teleop7.2
End2.6
Third
7530
#37
9.21.6
9.47.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End1.3
blue by 6.5
2855
#16
15.70.5
9.610.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed