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Red50
226420.2
247217.8
388317.6
Blue10
60473.6
52718.7
42298.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502101030406070805010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#23
20.20.9
16.917.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.9
End1.4
red by 11.6
5271
#38
8.71.4
7.05.6
Auto5.5
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Second
17.80.9
10.911.8
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.8
red by 9.3
4229
#32
8.51.4
9.17.7
Auto5.6
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Third
3883
#27
17.60.9
13.914.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End2.4
red by 14.0
6047
#52
3.61.4
6.55.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed