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Red25
313019.0
72737.1
388317.6
Blue41
812222.6
250117.1
298717.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405502060801002541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#29
19.01.6
15.714.1
Auto9.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 3.6
8122
#11
22.61.2
16.415.3
Auto11.1
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Second
3883
#27
17.61.6
14.813.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End2.4
red by 0.2
17.41.2
17.616.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.6
End1.0
Third
7273
#48
7.11.6
7.25.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.1
End2.0
blue by 10.0
2501
#10
17.11.2
13.612.4
Auto5.2
Teleop9.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed