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Red56
310019.5
251210.1
313019.0
Blue51
329718.9
470315.2
761912.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44462060801005651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3100
#25
19.50.1
14.514.6
Auto8.8
Teleop8.6
End2.1
red by 0.7
18.91.0
15.616.6
Auto7.5
Teleop6.4
End4.9
Second
3130
#29
19.00.1
15.715.9
Auto9.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 3.8
4703
#24
15.21.0
13.714.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.3
End2.6
Third
2512
#34
10.10.1
9.69.7
Auto5.4
Teleop2.6
End2.1
blue by 2.8
7619
#40
12.91.0
12.413.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned