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Red60
641910.9
212925.7
341815.3
Blue57
313019.0
880310.7
206220.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5450204060801006057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#13
25.71.1
22.924.0
Auto9.2
Teleop13.8
End2.7
red by 5.2
20.51.1
18.519.6
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End0.5
Second
3418
#33
15.31.1
14.215.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End2.8
blue by 3.6
3130
#29
19.01.1
17.618.7
Auto9.5
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
6419
#45
10.91.1
11.112.2
Auto5.3
Teleop4.0
End1.6
red by 0.3
8803
#31
10.71.1
9.610.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed