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Red34
329412.3
326714.1
401114.2
Blue39
591417.6
32919.0
851613.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353701020305060703439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4011
#22
14.20.2
12.712.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.9
End0.8
blue by 3.4
5914
#30
17.60.6
10.411.1
Auto5.1
Teleop12.1
End0.4
Second
3267
#31
14.10.2
9.69.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End0.9
red by 0.5
8516
#49
13.60.6
13.614.2
Auto7.8
Teleop5.5
End0.3
Third
3294
#41
12.30.2
10.010.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 3.3
3291
#37
9.00.6
9.510.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed